Capital Gains or Inflation Tax?

A portion of the “capital gains” on any investment is the price appreciation due to inflation. It follows that a part of the capital gains tax is an “inflation tax.” So, why don’t we separate and call it what it is: INFLATION TAX!

Let’s say that you bought a house in the Bay Area for $200,000 in 1975 (lucky you!). Now it is worth $1,500,000 (not unrealistic for some places in the Bay Area). If you sold it next year at that price, you would incur capital gains of $1,300,000. If you are married, you would be allowed an exemption of $500,000. That would bring your taxable gains to $800,000. At 20% tax rate (I assume that is what it will be next year) you would owe Uncle Sam $160,000.

Using the “Implicit Price Deflators for GDP” from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, I figured that inflation has caused prices to go up 3.375 times since 1975, and the inflation-adjusted purchase price of your house should really be $675,000. Using this adjusted purchase price, your taxable gain would be $325,000 and you would owe Uncle Sam a “real” capital gains tax of $65,000. Your inflation tax would come to $95,000, which corresponds to an inflation tax rate of 29% based on the real capital gains, or 12% based on the “fictitious” capital gains.

Now, let’s say that you invested your money into stocks and “made some money” by buying 100 shares of SPY (an ETF that reflects S&P 500) at the end of 2001 for $114.30 and sold it at the end of 2011 for $125.50. You would incur capital gains of $1,120 and pay a tax on it of $224 (I am still using the 20% rate). In reality, however, the inflation-adjusted price of SPY would be $142.81 at the end of 2011 and you would have lost $1,731. As if it was not bad enough that you did not even recover the principal you invested in the stock market, you would be “punished” by your government for being a bad investor!

With all the discussion going on whether the “capital gains” tax should be 15%, 20%, or some other rate, I wonder why nobody is asking why we have to pay an inflation tax.

Unknown's avatar

About S. Onder Kustu, MBA

Real Estate Broker at Boomerese Realty and Structural Engineer at OAK Structural.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a comment